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FOR THE EIGHTH CIRCUIT
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The snow depth metric is derived from the snow depth and snow duration at a weather station by means of linear regression. A threshold is applied to the residuals to distinguish between snow and no snow for the base month. The slope of the fitted regression line is used to predict snowfall from the base threshold for subsequent months.
The snow depth metric for the month of January, 2011 is shown below.
The remaining residuals are discarded.
In this example, the threshold is set to 50cm.
The residuals are shown below.
The slope of the fitted regression line for the three previous snowfall months is 0.30 cm/day for the month of February, 0.21 cm/day for March and 0.20 cm/day for April.
The January, 2011 snow depth is 2.69m.
The residual of the fitted regression line is then applied to the January, 2011 snow depth to estimate snowfall. The snow forecast for February, 2011, March, 2011 and April, 2011 is calculated by multiplying the monthly residuals by these values. The snow forecast for January, 2011 is calculated by adding the monthly residuals to the January, 2011 snow depth.
The residuals for February, 2011 and March, 2011 are positive. This indicates that the fitted regression line is correctly predicting snowfall.
The residuals for April, 2011 are negative. The fitted regression line appears to be incorrectly
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Pattie Lownsbery is a lifelong resident of the Rosebery and Cornelia areas of Portland. Pattie has been a member of Rosemary Park United Methodist Church since she was 15. She has also taken up residence in various committees and organizations to help advance the church. In 2008, Pattie was honored with the “Service to Life” award given by the Washington County Museum of Art in recognition of her long service. Pattie has been the President of the Rosemary Park Cemetery Association for over ten years. In 2007 she was a candidate for the Queen of Peace Queen Beatrice award in recognition of her Christian ministry among the elderly. Pattie is a passionate supporter of the church’s membership, serving on the annual membership committee as well as representing the church on the General Council of Christians and Church members of the East Oregon Conference. Pattie’s children Rosemary, Rosemary, and Grant Lownsbery all attend East Mountain School in Monmouth. Rosemary and Grant attend Rosemary Junior High and Rosemary High School and Grant is playing football at the University of Portland. Rosemary is active in the church and helps drive the church bus on Sunday mornings.
I, Pattie and Rosemary Lownsbery, created and will be hosting a contest for the best posters of the year, putting forth the efforts of our graduating seniors. They will need to submit a design that would be displayed in the main lobby of East Mountain School. Our first challenge will be as follows:
The first contest will be “Best Poster Posing for the Church”. The basic premise of our contest is to create a poster showing the church being glorious in its redemption story.Universal blastocyst competence of in vitro matured granulosa cells from patients with polycystic ovary syndrome.
Patients with polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) have an increased risk of developing ovarian granulosa cell tumours (GCTs). Despite the evidence that women with PCOS have poor ovarian reserve and are thus at higher risk of GCT, it is unknown whether they are capable of producing normal-sized oocytes. We therefore compared the quality and quantity of blastocysts derived from in vitro matured (IVM) granulosa cells isolated from PCOS women (n = 6) and from control women (n = 3)
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